The annual Bitcoin (BTC) price candle is on track to close in negative territory for 2025, unless BTC manages to climb more than 6.24% above its yearly opening price of approximately $93,374.
According to Puckrin, “Bitcoin has just three days left to bounce back and finish the year with gains. If it fails, this will mark the first post-halving year closing in red. A 6.24% increase is needed for a green candle.”
Back in October, Bitcoin reached an all-time peak exceeding $125,000 before a significant market crash abruptly halted its momentum and caused widespread declines across cryptocurrency prices.
The value of BTC has dropped roughly 30% from that record high and found a local bottom near $80,000 in November. This downturn has sparked debates among analysts about whether Bitcoin’s bullish phase has ended and if a new bear market is underway.
Experts remain divided on whether Bitcoin will recover soon or if the downward trend will persist into 2026. Much of this uncertainty revolves around macroeconomic influences and liquidity conditions impacting BTC’s valuation.
Focus Shifts to US Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Decisions
Since November, Bitcoin’s price has stayed below its crucial 365-day moving average—a key support level—breaking the upward trend established throughout 2023.
A reduction in interest rates typically benefits riskier assets like cryptocurrencies by injecting fresh liquidity that fuels rallies.
In 2025, the Federal Reserve implemented three rate cuts of 25 basis points each; however, Chairman Jerome Powell offered mixed signals during December’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting regarding future policy moves.
Powell remarked that “there is no risk-free path for policy,” casting uncertainty over potential rate reductions at January’s FOMC session.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group’s FedWatch tool shows only an 18.8% probability investors expect an interest rate cut next month.
The annual Bitcoin (BTC) price candle is on track to close in negative territory for 2025, unless BTC manages to climb more than 6.24% above its yearly opening price of approximately $93,374.
According to Puckrin, “Bitcoin has just three days left to bounce back and finish the year with gains. If it fails, this will mark the first post-halving year closing in red. A 6.24% increase is needed for a green candle.”
Back in October, Bitcoin reached an all-time peak exceeding $125,000 before a significant market crash abruptly halted its momentum and caused widespread declines across cryptocurrency prices.
The value of BTC has dropped roughly 30% from that record high and found a local bottom near $80,000 in November. This downturn has sparked debates among analysts about whether Bitcoin&srsquo;s bullish phase has ended and if a new bear market is underway.
Experts remain divided on whether Bitcoin will recover soon or if the downward trend will persist into 2026. Much of this uncertainty revolves around macroeconomic influences and liquidity conditions impacting BTC&srsquo;s valuation.
&;Focus Shifts to US Federal Reserve&srsquo;s Interest Rate Decisions
Since November,átcoin&rdsquo;s price has stayed below its crucial 365-day moving average—a key support level—breaking the upward trend established throughout
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A reduction in interest rates typically benefits riskier assets like cryptocurrencies by injecting fresh liquidity that fuels rallies.
In  ; , The Federal Reserve implemented three rate cuts of twenty-five basis points each ; however , Chairman Jerome Powell offered mixed signals during December ’ s Federal Open Market Committee ( FOMC ) meeting regarding future policy moves .
Powell remarked that “ there i s no risk – free path fo r policy , ” casting uncertainty over potential rat e reductions at January ’ s FOM C session .
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange ( CME ) Group ’ s FedWatch tool shows only an eighteen point eight percent probability investors expect an interest rat e cut next month .