Over the past month, Bitcoin (BTC) has struggled to break through the significant $100,000 mark, fluctuating between $85,000 and $94,000. Despite facing multiple rejections at this threshold, experts like Tom Lee from Fundstrat Capital maintain a positive outlook for an impending recovery.
Signals of a Potential Bitcoin Recovery
Lee asserts that Bitcoin is currently “highly oversold,” suggesting that historical trends indicate a rebound could be imminent. His comments were in response to insights shared by Julien Bittel from Global Macro Investor regarding BTC’s performance.
Bittel noted that Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is presently below 30—a clear indication of being oversold. Historically speaking, when Bitcoin reaches such low RSI levels, it typically experiences an average bounce back of around 25% within two months.
If this pattern holds true and if the market cycle for Bitcoin extends as projected on current charts, there’s potential for the cryptocurrency to approach $110,000 by mid-2026. However, this scenario hinges on favorable conditions in broader financial markets and sufficient liquidity supporting risk assets like BTC.
Bittel remains optimistic about the continuation of the bull market and believes a recovery could still unfold as we move toward 2026.
Tom Lee referred to Bittel’s analysis as “Good stuff,” echoing his sentiment that while current conditions appear bleak for Bitcoin prices downwardly stretched historically suggest a rebound is likely forthcoming.
Good stuff @BittelJulien $BTC Bitcoin extremely oversold
Bounces follow https://t.co/s9Dxt35RXx— Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) December 17, 2025
The dynamics within the Bitcoin market are also shifting as large investors reposition their holdings with significant purchases occurring. According to U.Today reports, an astonishing $260.38 billion worth of Bitcoins was transferred onto Binance exchange recently which has raised alarms among traders regarding potential price impacts.
This massive influx could exacerbate existing “extremely oversold” conditions further complicating matters and potentially jeopardizing support at around $85K due to possible sharp price declines ahead.
The Future Price Predictions for Bitcoin
In addition to these developments,Bollinger Bands analysis indicates that trading may stabilize around an average value near $87K going forward.
The coin appears unresponsive to typical profit-loss indicators but suggests larger macroeconomic factors might be influencing its trajectory—leaving many analysts uncertain about how BTC will perform in upcoming days amidst changing circumstances.
As we approach year-end with only two weeks left in trading for 2025 selling pressures are expected possibly easing given RSI readings hovering at around 30 indicating potential upward movement before year’s close.
Current status: Bitcoin is currently valued at $89,972.73 (3.11%) increase over last day after recovering from lows near $86,210.18 .. Nonetheless volume traded shows red zone dips downwards (-22..2%) amounting up-to $38..37 billion!., raising questions whether rally can sustain momentum or not!