Axel Adler, a cryptocurrency analyst, has introduced a new model to predict Bitcoin’s price trajectory over the next five years.
This analysis merges the “Power Law” framework with the timing of halving events to estimate Bitcoin’s potential price fluctuations from 2026 to 2031.
As per Adler’s findings, Bitcoin is currently navigating through its fifth halving cycle (Epoch 5), with the next anticipated halving set for April 2028. The median price derived from the Power Law in this model stands at around $98,559, which is roughly 27% higher than its current valuation. The study suggests a lower boundary (Q01 base) of $63,558 and an upper limit (Q99 ceiling) of $172,269 for this cycle.
Adler forecasts that within one year—by March 2027—the median price could escalate to $130,720. The estimated range during this period may vary between $84,433 and $228,847.
The two-year outlook anticipates that by March 2028, Bitcoin’s median value might reach approximately $171,040. During this timeframe, projections suggest a lower threshold of about $110,476 and an upper threshold potentially hitting $299,436. Looking ahead to March 2029—post-halving in April—the sixth cycle (Epoch 6) is expected to commence with a projected median price of around $220,480; estimates for that year range from approximately $169,618 to as high as $308,526.
In terms of long-term predictions by Adler’s model show sustained growth. For March 2030 specifically forecasts indicate a median price near or at about$280 ,607 . At this stage ,the anticipated range would be between$215 ,874and$392 ,664 . ByMarch2031,the targetmedianpriceisprojectedto bearound$353035withanupperlimitofapproximately494016and alowerlimitof271594 .
*This information should not be considered financial advice.