Bitcoin vs. Gold: The Results of Investing $50 Monthly Over the Last Decade – A Simulation Analysis

As the new year draws near, renewed attention is being given to the long-term effects of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) when applied to Bitcoin (BTC), based on a decade’s worth of price data.

Imagine an investor who consistently purchased $50 worth of Bitcoin at the start of every month. Over time, this disciplined approach would have resulted in a substantial accumulation of Bitcoin and significant growth in their initial investment.

This evaluation considers monthly Bitcoin prices from January 2016 through December 2025. The strategy involves buying $50 worth of BTC on the first day of each month throughout this period.

With these monthly contributions totaling $6,000 over ten years, Bitcoin’s price has experienced wide fluctuations — from just a few hundred dollars in 2016 to soaring highs during the 2021 bull run, followed by sharp declines in 2022 and new peaks emerging by 2025.

When all purchases are aggregated, the investor would hold roughly 0.43 BTC. Given that Bitcoin currently trades near $87,000 per coin, this holding translates into an approximate market value between $37,000 and $38,000. Simply put, a total investment of $6,000 has appreciated more than sixfold over this timeframe.

The same DCA approach applied to gold reveals a steadier but less dramatic return profile. Assuming identical monthly investments—$50 at each month’s start beginning January 2016—the investor accumulates gold steadily over ten years as well.

Throughout these 120 months with total contributions summing up to $6,000 invested in gold, prices fluctuated between around $1,100 and $1,300 per ounce during early years (2016-2018), then gained momentum post-2020 reaching record levels by 2024-2025. 

The cumulative amount purchased amounts to approximately 3.4 ounces of gold. &&&

<span style="font-weight:normal;"&gtConsidering current prices hovering near&$4,350 per ounce,& <span style="font-weight:normal;"&gtthis equates roughly to a market value between&$1,500 and&$1,500.<span style="font-weight:normal;"&gt In other words,

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As we approach the new year&comma; there is renewed interest in examining how Dollar Cost Averaging &lpar;DCA&rpar;&comma particularly for Bitcoin &lpar;BTC&rpar;&comma impacts long-term returns based on data spanning ten years&period;

If an individual had invested fifty dollars every month purchasing Bitcoin at each month’s start&comma; they would now own a considerable amount&comma resulting in substantial growth compared with their original outlay&period;

This analysis uses historical monthly closing prices for BTC from January&nbsp2016 through December&nbsp2025&period The hypothetical scenario assumes consistent purchases valued at fifty US dollars made exactly on day one every single month&period;

Total contributions add up to six thousand dollars across those ten years while bitcoin’s price varied dramatically—from mere hundreds back then—to peaks seen during bullish phases like late&nbsp2021 followed by corrections around&nbsp2022 before climbing again toward record highs projected for late&nbsp2025&period

Cumulatively&comma these investments yield approximately zero point four three bitcoins held today&period With current valuations hovering close to eighty-seven thousand USD per coin&comma this position could be valued somewhere between thirty-seven thousand and thirty-eight thousand US dollars overall—meaning your initial six grand has multiplied more than six times since inception&period

A similar DCA strategy applied instead towards acquiring physical gold shows steadier yet comparatively modest gains over identical periods under equivalent conditions—buying fifty-dollar increments once monthly starting early twenty sixteen until end twenty twenty-five&period

The total sum invested remains fixed at six thousand USD after one hundred twenty separate transactions whilst metal pricing oscillated within ranges roughly spanning eleven hundred up through thirteen hundred USD per ounce initially before surging past previous records following two-thousand-twenty onward into subsequent peak periods around two-thousand-twenty-four/25&period

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