Leading investment management company VanEck has officially stepped away from making forecasts for the year 2026.
Earlier today, the firm posted a tweet that began like a typical prediction thread, teasing ten insights. However, it concluded with a surprising message: “No predictions for 2026. Good luck out there!”
Expectations Versus Reality
VanEck’s outlook for 2025 was marked by strong optimism. They envisioned a “super-cycle” culminating in significant highs during the fourth quarter. Now, as we approach mid-December 2025, it is clear that their projections and actual market performance have diverged sharply.
The firm forecasted Bitcoin to soar to $180,000 at the peak of this cycle in 2025.
Although Bitcoin showed strength earlier in the year, it has since retreated during what was expected to be a robust Q4 rally. Currently trading around $86,000, BTC remains below half of VanEck’s ambitious target.
The predictions for Ethereum ($6,000) and Solana ($500) were based on expectations of substantial institutional investment and increased decentralized application usage—both of which failed to materialize at scale. Ethereum struggles near $3,000—far from doubling as predicted—while Solana trades closer to $130.
The most notable miscalculation may have been timing: VanEck anticipated a medium-term peak in Q1 followed by new all-time highs in Q4. Instead, Q4 brought significant market corrections rather than gains.
This context helps explain why VanEck has chosen not to offer any fresh forecasts moving forward.
Pursuing another round of overly optimistic targets could further undermine their reputation within the industry.