The MSTR stock continues to trade within a technical bear market on Monday, despite the company investing $980 million to purchase 10,645 Bitcoin.
Overview
This year, MSTR’s stock price is struggling with both technical and fundamental challenges.
A bearish flag pattern has emerged, suggesting potential further declines in the near future.
The upcoming Bank of Japan interest rate announcement could trigger additional downward pressure on the stock.
Formerly known as MicroStrategy, Strategy’s shares were priced at $176.45—down approximately 62% from their peak earlier this year. This drop aligns closely with Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent weakness, which saw its value fall from $126,300 in October to around $90,000 today.
Michael Saylor confirmed that last week the company acquired 10,645 BTC worth about $980.3 million. This latest acquisition increased their total Bitcoin holdings to 671,268 coins valued at over $60 billion currently. Nevertheless, significant risks remain that could push MSTR shares even lower shortly.
Strategy purchased 10,645 BTC for roughly ~$980.3 million at an average price of ~$92,098 per bitcoin and has achieved a BTC Yield of 24.9% YTD for 2025. As of December 14th, we hold a total of 671, 268 BTC acquired for about ~$50.33 billion at an average cost basis near ~$74, 972 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD $STRE https://t.co/VdAz7pqce1
— Michael Saylor (@saylor) December 15, 2025
MSTR Stock Faces Technical Downside Risks
The daily chart reveals that MSTR’s share price has plummeted sharply this year—from a high point near $457 in July down to roughly $176 now.
A detailed analysis shows it forming a bearish flag pattern characterized by an initial steep decline (flagpole) followed by an upward-sloping consolidation channel (the flag). Currently, the stock remains inside this consolidation phase.
Additionally, a death cross formation has appeared on the charts along with prices trading below critical support levels around $230—the lows seen earlier this year during February and April—and beneath the Supertrend indicator line.
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Given these signals,the outlook leans bearish for MSTR shares.The next major support lies close to its yearly low near$155.A breach below that level would likely accelerate losses toward$100 or lower.
Bitcoin Price Risks Declining Toward $75K
Bitcoin’s price action is also vulnerable amid signs pointing toward further downside pressure soon.The daily graph illustrates formation of a rising wedge—a bearish reversal pattern often signaling weakness ahead.
BTC remains under all key moving averages and failed repeatedly at resistance around$94,635.It’s also trading beneath the Ichimoku cloud,a sign favoring bears.
Therefore,the cryptocurrency may retest last month’s low near$80,600.A breakdown below there would open doors toward April’s bottom approaching$75,000.
The Impact Of The BoJ Interest Rate Decision
Another looming risk factor impacting MSTR comes from Friday’s Bank of Japan interest rate decision.Central bank governor Kazuo Ueda hinted strongly that rates will rise as inflation stubbornly stays above three percent.
Polymarket data suggests there is now approximately98% chance rates will increase.This development contrasts sharply with expected Federal Reserve rate cuts occurring simultaneously.
Historically,this divergence between BoJ hikes and Fed easing tends to trigger sell-offs due to unwinding carry trades maintained over many years.
Additional headwinds exist for Bitcoin itself,such as ongoing deleveraging evidenced by falling futures open interest plus flattening funding curves.These factors imply continued BTC weakness may drag down Strategy shares further over time.
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