A detailed report from the cryptocurrency analysis firm Alphractal has emerged, focusing on Bitcoin’s market cycles through a multi-dimensional value lens.
The objective of this analysis is to enhance investors’ comprehension of various market conditions by utilizing over twelve distinct on-chain valuation models.
The findings indicate that critical economic price points for Bitcoin include the Realized Price at $53,300, the Real Market Average at $78,700, and the Active Realized Price set at $85,500. For different investor categories, short-term investors have a calculated cost floor of $110,800 while long-term investors sit at a lower threshold of $36,500.
Furthermore, Alphractal identifies that the Alpha Price (Fair Value) stands at $169,400. The CVDD model is noted to be around $41,900 and its counterpart Alpha CVDD—which indicates potential cycle peaks—is positioned at an impressive $239,800. Additionally, long-term support known as Thermo Price rests significantly lower at just $4,300.
Among various metrics analyzed in this report are historical averages showing a price point of approximately $16,800; Delta Price pegged at around $36,500; and Peak Price reaching as high as an astounding $586.800—each representing previous highs in Bitcoin’s history.
Alphractal emphasizes that it’s crucial for investors to monitor where spot prices intersect with cost floors across different investor types (short-term holders [STH], long-term holders [LTH], active participants). Such intersections typically suggest possible trend reversals. Moreover，historically speaking，when prices near either CVDD or Thermo levels，it has often indicated prime buying opportunities.
*This information should not be construed as investment advice.