Amid Bitcoin’s Surge, Analysis Firm Issues Critical Warning: “This Level Must Be Surpassed for Validation”

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CryptoQuant, a leading cryptocurrency analytics firm, has pointed out that while there are growing assertions about Bitcoin reaching its lowest point, the on-chain data does not yet support this claim. Currently trading around $80,870, Bitcoin faces significant resistance due to the cost zones of investors who are at a loss.

The analysis reveals that the realized cost prices for three distinct groups of investors exceed the current market price. Specifically, those who have held Bitcoin for 3 to 6 months have a realized cost price of $88,880. Meanwhile, investors holding for 12 to 18 months have an even higher threshold at $93,450. The group with the most substantial supply is comprised of those who held their investments between 6 and 12 months; their average cost stands at $111,850. CryptoQuant emphasizes that these levels act as critical “break-even points” for those facing losses.

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The firm asserts that before confirming any bottoming out of Bitcoin’s price trajectory, it must first break through and sustain above the $88,880 mark. Their analysis indicates that mere short-term rallies will not suffice; rather than just breaking through this level temporarily—it needs robust defense post-breakout. Achieving this would allow newer investors to return to profitability while alleviating initial selling pressure.

Furthermore, CryptoQuant highlights ongoing selling pressure within the range of $85,000 to $88,000 from investors who purchased during November 2025 through February 2026. Each upward movement is perceived as a major distribution zone where these individuals aim to exit their positions without incurring losses.

*This content should not be construed as investment advice.

FAQ

  • What does it mean when analysts say Bitcoin has hit its bottom?
    This refers to predictions or claims suggesting that Bitcoin’s price cannot drop any further and may start rising again soon.
  • Why is there resistance around certain price levels?
    This occurs when many investors bought assets at specific prices and are unwilling to sell below them without recovering their costs.
  • If I hold Bitcoin above current market prices but see no profit yet—what should I do?
    You might consider your long-term strategy based on market trends or consult with financial advisors before making decisions.
  • Aren’t short-term rallies enough evidence for recovery?
    No; sustained growth above key levels is necessary for confirming recovery rather than temporary spikes in value.

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