Bitcoin is currently undergoing a price trend that has led many traders to believe that the peak of this cycle occurred in October 2025. However, an intriguing technical analysis suggests that the market’s structure may not yet be fully formed. Analyst CryptoAmsterdam argues that Bitcoin is experiencing a temporary correction within a much larger phase. If this interpretation holds true, it could mean Bitcoin is poised for an even more significant rally than seen in previous bull markets.
Bitcoin Might Still Be in an Incomplete Macro Bull Cycle
Historically, every major Bitcoin bull run has followed a distinct five-stage pattern: starting with a bullish phase, transitioning into bearish territory, accumulating below the macro range, experiencing disbelief rallies back into range, and culminating in parabolic movements reaching new all-time highs. This sequence was evident during the cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021; each completed all five stages within approximately four years. The current cycle appears to deviate from this established pattern.
According to CryptoAmsterdam’s analysis, while Bitcoin did reach new heights recently without exhibiting the typical Stage 5 parabolic expansion characteristic of previous cycles. By comparing charts of Bitcoin’s weekly price action against earlier cycles from 2013 through 2021—each lasting around 1,456 to 1,477 days from trough to peak—it becomes clear that Stage 5 was responsible for explosive price movements during those periods.
This crucial phase seems structurally absent in the ongoing cycle; since hitting its peak at $126K per coin, price action has entered what appears to be a corrective period while still leaving room for further developments within this cycle framework.
Price Chart Comparison Source: @damskotrades On X
The technical analysis indicates that although short-term price actions may seem weak on smaller time frames—overall sentiment remains bullish on larger scales. Currently it seems as though Bitcoin finds itself at such juncture where recent corrections represent merely minor fluctuations occurring within broader macro trends.
This perspective gains additional significance when juxtaposed with examples like gold and Alphabet Inc., where prices also advanced amid overarching macro cycles before pausing for mid-cycle corrections before resuming upward trajectories once those resets were complete.
If CryptoAmsterdam’s assessment holds water then it implies that present-day bitcoin activity corresponds with Stage Three of mini-cycles nested inside broader Stage Five frameworks—which means we might still anticipate parabolic growth ahead!
Gold And Alphabet Inc Source: @damskotrades On X
The Potential For New Price Highs
A further reason supporting expectations for robust rallies lies in how often bitcoin tends lag behind other assets’ performances over recent years—frequently mirroring large-cap stocks but typically delayed by hundreds of days which positions BTC less as leader but rather final participant during these cycles!
An important observation reveals gold consistently bottoms out well ahead compared against bitcoin’s performance trajectory—for instance when BTC surged alongside gold during its advance throughout prior year (2021) yet underwent full mini-cycle corrections while precious metal trended upwards uninterruptedly until concluding its own parabola rally before BTC transitioned vertically thereafter as illustrated below:
Gold And BTC Source:@ damskotrades On X
The prevailing outlook now anticipates continued momentum toward larger-scale stage-five moves akin observed previously across both Gold & Google (Alphabet Inc.), projecting potential peaks exceeding $200K per unit!
Featured image created with Dall.E; chart sourced from Tradingview.com